US mid-term elections
Multiple ballots are held at the time of the US mid-term elections, including those at the municipal and state level, and also all the seats are up for election in the House of Representatives and a...
View ArticleThe UK Stock Market in General Election Years
In July 1945, two months after Germany surrendered, Winston Churchill was in Potsdam at the first meeting of the heads of government of the UK, US and Russia to decide Europe’s future. On the 25th of...
View ArticleEquities in US presidential election years
The 14 charts below show the performance of the FTSE All-Share index over the 12 months of a US presidential election year. For example, the first chart shows the January-December performance of the UK...
View ArticleUK equities and the US presidential election cycle
The chart below shows the 4-year US presidential election cycle (PEC) superimposed on the FT All-Share index from 1956. The vertical bars indicate the timing of the November elections every four years....
View ArticleUS Democrat/Republican president portfolios
Market performance by president The chart below shows the performance of the UK market (FT All-Share index) over the periods the respective US presidents were in office. From the point of view of the...
View ArticleGold and US presidential elections
How has the price of gold reacted to US presidential elections? Day returns The following chart plots the average daily returns of gold for the nine days around the US presidential elections...
View ArticleTrading days around US presidential elections
How does the UK market trade in the days around US presidential elections? US presidential elections are held every fours years on the Tuesday following the first Monday in November (hence they are...
View ArticleUnited States presidential inauguration day
The United States presidential inauguration day used to be on 4th March, but in 1937 the Twentieth Amendment changed the date of inauguration day to 20 January. If that day is a Sunday, inauguration...
View ArticleUK equities in days around parliamentary elections
The following chart plots the number of times the FTSE All-Share Index has had positive returns in the 7 days around UK parliamentary elections since 1970. For example, in the 12 elections there have...
View ArticlePolitical leader market returns
The following table shows the stock market returns for political leaders since they came into office. The table is ranked by the final column – the compound annual growth rate of the market returns....
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